China Securities Network (Reporter Wang Wei) Monday (September 4), the central bank announced that the current liquidity of the banking system is relatively high, which can absorb the influence of the central bank's reverse repurchase due and other factors, and will not be carried out on September 4. Open market operations. On the same day, 140 billion reverse repurchase expired, so the net return of 140 billion on the day. Analysts pointed out that the capital fabrics continued to improve at the beginning of September. However, in the context of the low reserve ratio, there were still many disturbance factors in September, and market liquidity expectations were difficult and difficult. Of course, under the operational tone of the central bank's “shaving the peaks and filling the valleyâ€, there is no need to worry too much about the liquidity environment in September. The worst in September is nothing more than a surprise.
The central bank's open market net return last week was 280 billion yuan. In August, the central bank's accumulated net return was about 400 billion yuan. The overall liquidity is still tight. The average value of R007 rose to 3.82% last week, and the average value of R001 rose to 3.08%. DR007 and DR001 respectively. Up to 2.92% and 2.89%.
According to Wind's statistics, this week (September 2nd to September 8th), the central bank's open market has 370 billion reverse repurchase maturity, which expires 140 billion, 70 billion, 160 billion, and 0 billion respectively from Monday to Friday. 0 billion, in addition to Thursday's 169.5 billion MLF expired, no repurchase and central bank bills expired.
Today's interbank one-day pledged repo rate opened at 2.55%, the previous day's weighted average price was reported at 2.930%; the interbank 7-day pledged repo rate opened at 2.65%, and the previous day's weighted average price was reported at 2.9408%.
Shenwan Hong source 000166, diagnosis of the Securities pointed out that in August the whole front of the tight loose money, the central bank "clipping" operation on easing is expected to hit the market is large, the bond market is a certain tension. However, the tight liquidity in the short-term does not mean that the central bank's monetary policy has turned. In August, the central bank's hedging of special government bonds and the excessive MLF movements still indicate the intention of maintaining the funds, and still maintain the overall view of the funds in the second half of the year. It is expected that the funds will be slightly better in August than in August. The brokerage analyst said that the central bank's momentum for maintaining stability is still relatively strong, and the interest rate of funds is unlikely to continue to surge. That is, the central bank's “sharp-filling and valley-filling†operation will continue. It is expected that the central bank will release certain liquidity in September to maintain its funding. stable.
600837 Hai Tong Securities, pointed out that consultation shares, into September will mark the end of the quarter and 2.3 trillion MPA assessment interbank certificates of deposit (CD) expired, renewed concerns about the financial side. It is expected that the central bank will increase its efforts at the end of the quarter, and bank deposit slips will be issued in a rolling manner. In the third quarter, MPA pressure will be less than that in the first half of the year. September will be the fiscal release month. The RMB will continue to appreciate and improve the capital outflow. The funds may be more than expected. Loose. Maintain a narrow range of fluctuations around 3.3% of the R007 center.
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