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According to the primary dealer trader, the People's Bank of China will conduct a 65-day 7-day reverse repurchase in the open market on Wednesday (June 15), and another 55 billion yuan reverse repo due on the open market today. . According to this calculation, Yang Ma will put a net investment of 10 billion yuan in the open market today. The central bank’s open market closed 175 billion yuan last week, ending the three-week net release.
According to Bloomberg data, the open market has a total of 145 billion yuan this week, and the 7-day reverse repurchase expires. There is no repurchase and the central bank bill expires. Among them, Monday to Wednesday are 400, 500 and 55 billion yuan respectively, and the 70 billion yuan reverse repurchase due on Sunday will be postponed to next Monday (June 20).
The above open market business data does not include central bank special operations, short-term liquidity adjustment tools (SLO) and central treasury cash management business.
Xu Yuehong, a senior analyst at the Bank of Communications Financial Market Center, said in an interview that in response to the large capital demand at the end of June, the central bank will adjust liquidity through a combination of open market and short-term and medium-term lending facilities. The possibility of large-scale easing is very small, and the possibility of lowering interest rates is small.
Yan Yan, senior trader of the Financial Market Department of Guangdong Development Bank, said in an interview that the MLF operation is said to be normalized, and the routine open market operation is of great significance to the guidance of the capital interest rate. It is expected that the regulatory layer will continue to maintain the funding situation, and the capital fabrics at the end of June will be smooth.
Shen Wan Hongyuan's macro research team pointed out yesterday that, overall, after the Dragon Boat Festival, the funds are still in a balanced and loose state. This week, the amount of funds for reverse repurchase is 145 billion yuan. It is expected that the funds will be stable in the first half of the week. In the second half of the week, with the arrival of the Fed meeting, monthly tax payment and macro-prudential assessment (MPA) assessment, the funding side will come. Short-term fluctuations or increase. At present, it seems that the central bank's medium-term loan facilitation (MLF) inquiry is expected to be normalized, and MLF will become an important means of maintaining stability.
On June 7, the People's Bank of China carried out MLF operations for 14 financial institutions totaling 208 billion yuan. Among them, 3 months 123.2 billion yuan, 6 months 11.5 billion yuan, 1 year period 73.3 billion yuan, interest rates were flat at 2.75%, 2.85%, 3.0%.
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